Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.034262 0.039622 0.045559 0.052623 0.060807 0.069993 0.081095
2026-01-25 0.026471 0.033671 0.042442 0.053923 0.068582 0.086703 0.110861
2026-02-01 0.020706 0.028315 0.038277 0.052304 0.071598 0.097282 0.134210
2026-02-08 0.017244 0.025018 0.035818 0.051961 0.075569 0.108975 0.160101
2026-02-15 0.014675 0.022400 0.033691 0.051460 0.078857 0.119725 0.185751
2026-02-22 0.013031 0.020810 0.032708 0.052313 0.084005 0.133566 0.217627
2026-03-01 0.011477 0.019092 0.031227 0.052072 0.087246 0.144667 0.246466
2026-03-08 0.009985 0.017243 0.029251 0.050682 0.088298 0.152179 0.270147
2026-03-15 0.008724 0.015598 0.027373 0.049151 0.088804 0.158673 0.292713
2026-03-22 0.008025 0.014829 0.026881 0.049936 0.093416 0.172773 0.330676
2026-03-29 0.007342 0.013998 0.026160 0.050184 0.097018 0.185390 0.367425
2026-04-05 0.006724 0.013204 0.025401 0.050240 0.100213 0.197552 0.404786
2026-04-12 0.006240 0.012619 0.024988 0.050957 0.104877 0.213294 0.451880
2026-04-19 0.005871 0.012220 0.024890 0.052292 0.110970 0.232675 0.509327
2026-04-26 0.005252 0.011229 0.023484 0.050739 0.110815 0.239114 0.539795
2026-05-03 0.004821 0.010580 0.022704 0.050409 0.113228 0.251265 0.584569
2026-05-10 0.004424 0.009956 0.021902 0.049925 0.115217 0.262694 0.629212
2026-05-17 0.004173 0.009626 0.021698 0.050752 0.120282 0.281636 0.694187
2026-05-24 0.003867 0.009133 0.021071 0.050518 0.122820 0.295021 0.747475
2026-05-31 0.003515 0.008490 0.020029 0.049170 0.122499 0.301545 0.784458
2026-06-07 0.003190 0.007876 0.018984 0.047685 0.121648 0.306656 0.818503
2026-06-14 0.003032 0.007651 0.018847 0.048447 0.126579 0.326834 0.895270
2026-06-21 0.002856 0.007363 0.018522 0.048687 0.130186 0.344062 0.966487